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February 14.2025
2 Minutes Read

Warning Signs: Economic and Political Factors May Drive Food Prices Higher in South Africa

Fresh produce in South African market reflecting food prices.

Understanding Rising Food Prices in South Africa

South Africa is at a pivotal juncture, with economic and political forces poised to drive food prices higher. Currently, food inflation remains low, but warnings are echoing through the halls of economic institutions. Casey Sprake, an economist from Anchor Capital, highlights that factors such as a weakened rand and global market trends could lead to an inevitable rise in food prices affecting everyday South Africans.

Impact of Global Factors on Local Prices

The report by Anchor Capital, titled 2024 Food Price Trends: Global Shifts, Local Impacts, and What’s Ahead in 2025, outlines how global dynamics—including US foreign policies—affect local food prices. One significant update relates to former President Donald Trump’s executive actions, which have led to a deteriorating rand. This decline is reminiscent of previous economic strategies and policies that have destabilized local currencies in emerging markets before.

El Niño and Its Role in Agriculture

Weather events, particularly those sparked by El Niño, have further complicated the picture. They have contributed to a decline in staple crop production, specifically white maize. This has caused not only a local supply shortage but also increased demands from neighboring southern Africa, which may see a ripple effect in prices across the region.

The Meat Market: Fluctuating Prices Amid Challenges

Meat prices are particularly volatile, influenced by everything from animal diseases to seasonal supply factors. Prices have shown variability—while poultry prices are stabilizing post-avian influenza, pig meat prices have increased marginally. These fluctuations can cause widespread pricing chaos as consumers navigate an unpredictable market. According to Dawie Roodt, another concerned economist, the potential for sanctions could threaten food prices further, leading to higher inflation and economic strife.

Food Security: A Cautious Outlook

Wandile Sihlobo, the Agricultural Business Chamber’s chief economist, reassures that whilst South Africa is currently in a stronger position regarding food security compared to other nations, vigilance is necessary. This entails monitoring production outputs closely, especially as the 2025 summer crop cycle approaches. Low inflation can be misleading; current food crisis signs demand action and attentiveness from both the government and the private sector.

Responding to High Food Prices: Consumer Implications

The impacts of rising food prices reverberate throughout South African households. The Pietermaritzburg Economic Justice and Dignity Group has raised alarms about consumers struggling under the weight of rising prices. As of December 2024, year-on-year food basket prices surged by 2.8%. This implication that families will tighten belts, especially as many face high costs amid new school terms, underlines the pressing need for government intervention.

Conclusion: Implications for Policy and Economy

As we move further into 2025, understanding the interconnectedness of global factors and local economies is crucial. The South African government faces potential pressure to enact measures addressing food inflation and economic stability. As the political landscape shifts, it is imperative for every stakeholder—from policymakers to consumers—to be proactive in navigating the emerging challenges.

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11.18.2025

Global Entrepreneurship Week 2025: Strengthening SMMEs for a Brighter Future

Update Embracing Global Entrepreneurship Week 2025: A Call to Action This November, South Africa celebrates Global Entrepreneurship Week, from the 17th to the 23rd, marking a pivotal moment for the nation’s small, medium, and micro enterprises (SMMEs). The theme "Together We Build" not only emphasizes unity but also keenly recognizes the vital role SMMEs play in economic revitalization and job creation amidst ongoing challenges. The Economic Backbone of South Africa As reported by SARS, SMMEs are critical drivers of innovation and economic growth. They contribute significantly to job creation, holding responsibility for over 64% of employment in South Africa. However, the resilience of this sector is under pressure due to systemic challenges such as high unemployment, logistical issues, and inadequate policy support from the government. SARS Commissioner Edward Kieswetter's comments about the substantial R 11.7 billion surplus collected from corporate taxes underscore the significant contribution of law-abiding small businesses to the national revenue. Yet, despite this acknowledgment, the government's failure to adequately address their struggles raises concerns about the future viability of SMMEs. Challenges Faced by SMMEs and the Path Forward While entrepreneurs continue to navigate a complex landscape, the call for greater support is becoming increasingly urgent. According to Miguel da Silva from TymeBank, investing in SMEs through policy reforms, funding efforts, and tax rebates is essential to reverse the stagnating GDP forecast—current projections indicate a mere 1.3% growth rate for 2024. The water crisis and ongoing energy challenges further complicate this scenario, compelling SMEs to adopt risk mitigation strategies to ensure sustainability. Celebrating Innovations and Success In spite of the mounting challenges, the spirit of entrepreneurship in South Africa shines brightly. Events during Global Entrepreneurship Week aim to showcase innovative solutions and promote collaboration among public and private sectors. As entrepreneurs gather for discussions and networking opportunities during this week, the emphasis will be on showcasing innovation and fostering a pro-growth agenda. Spotlight on Political Support and Future Opportunities The connection between politics and entrepreneurship cannot be overstated. Significant forums such as the "Awakening to Africa's Prosperity" breakfast event set to take place on November 18, serve as vital touchpoints for fostering dialogue between stakeholders and policymakers, paving a way for SMMEs to leverage Africa's prosperity agenda. Speakers will share insights on engaging effectively with global opportunities while emphasizing the need for integrated support systems. Community and Entrepreneurial Engagement: A Collective Effort As we embrace Global Entrepreneurship Week, it becomes essential to recognize the role of community in entrepreneurship. Events celebrated this week not only highlight economic contributions but serve as a clarion call to increase civic engagement and collaboration. As each entrepreneur embarks on their unique journey, the collective strength of communities fosters resilience and innovation. The Call to Action: Building a Stronger Future Together Now is the time for professionals, entrepreneurs, and policymakers to engage and unite in supporting the SME sector. By fostering a supportive environment that encourages innovation and compliance, we can build a brighter economic future for South Africa. Join the celebrations and recognize the importance of every small business in our economy. Collective actions today can lead to transformative changes tomorrow, reinforcing the foundational strength of our communities. For businesses and individuals looking to make impactful contributions, consider participating in discussions, attending events, and investing in local entrepreneurship initiatives during and beyond Global Entrepreneurship Week 2025.

11.18.2025

Gold Traders in Mali and Burkina Faso: Navigating the Jihadist Threat

Update The Shifting Landscape of Gold Trading amid Rising Jihadist Threats In recent years, the Sahel region of Africa has witnessed an alarming surge in violence, particularly due to groups like the Group for the Support of Islam and Muslims (GSIM), which have ties to Al-Qaeda. This instability directly impacts the burgeoning gold trade in Mali and Burkina Faso, where uncertainty looms for traders as security concerns escalate. With the withdrawal of industrial groups and the rise of local traders stepping into the void, the challenges of doing business in this dynamic yet dangerous environment are coming to the fore. The Role of Local Traders in the Gold Market Following a series of coups in Mali and Burkina Faso, large industrial groups have retreated from the gold market, leaving local traders to fill the gap. These traders are now positioned to capitalize on the resource-rich territories—yet their operations are vulnerable to the persistent threat posed by jihadist groups. The stakes are high; gold mining serves as the backbone of these economies, providing employment and driving economic growth. Security Challenges in the Sahel Region The Sahel region, particularly Mali, has been subjected to growing insecurity that not only affects the general populace but also the lucrative gold production. Reports indicate that Burkinabe gold production has decreased significantly, with a drop of approximately 10 tonnes over the past two years. This decline is attributed to the deteriorating security environment, resulting in fear and hesitation for traders and investors alike. Impacts of Jihadist Financing on Trade Jihadist groups are reportedly adapting their strategies to exploit the very resources they threaten. According to reports, the attacks by the Jama’at Nasrat al Islam wal Muslimeen (JNIM) —a coalition of various jihadist factions—have aimed at disrupting supply chains, specifically targeting gold miners and traders. As these groups continue their operations, they force traders to navigate a perilous combination of economic necessity and security risk. Parallel Comparisons to Other Regions Similar trends can be observed in regions plagued by conflict, where economic activities are often the first to feel the impact of political instability. For example, in Afghanistan, the Taliban's takeover significantly disrupted many local businesses, a stark parallel to what is unfolding in the Sahel. In both instances, the threat of violence not only cripples the economy but also leads to a significant loss of human capital as individuals flee conflict zones. The Importance of International Support and Engagement The need for robust international engagement and support in the Sahel is pressing. For sustainable development and an eventual return to stability, collaboration with local governments is essential. Support for infrastructure, trade agreements like the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), and initiatives addressing underlying issues such as poverty and unemployment could provide a foundation for rebuilding. Aspects like renewable energy and education are also vital to bolster resilience against jihadist influences. The Path Forward: Navigating Complexity in Trade and Security What does the future hold for gold traders in Mali and Burkina Faso as they confront the dual challenge of jihadist threats and economic opportunity? Navigating this complex landscape requires not only resilience but also adaptation and strategy, including the deployment of digital technologies and community engagement to foster safer trade environments. As the geopolitical tensions shift, staying informed and adaptable will be critical for traders seeking sustainable pathways in this challenging milieu. In particular, embracing innovation through e-commerce and digital platforms could offer solutions that mitigate some risks associated with physical trade routes. Engaging with the Diaspora for Change A vital asset for these nations lies in their diaspora. The African Diaspora has significant potential to contribute to development through remittances, investment in local businesses, and knowledge transfer. Strengthening ties with the diaspora can aid in forming a more resilient economy capable of withstanding and eventually overcoming the current turmoil. Through empowerment initiatives, investment in education, and entrepreneurial ventures, the economic future of Mali and Burkina Faso may still hold promise, even amid the uncertainty of jihadist threats. Despite the looming challenges, the resilience of the gold trade in the face of adversity serves not only as a reflection of the region's economic importance but also as a beacon of hope for the future.

11.14.2025

Navigating South Africa's Updated Import and Export Regulations: Key Insights for Professionals

Update Understanding South Africa's Updated Import and Export Regulations On November 14, 2025, the South African Revenue Service (SARS) released its updated Prohibited and Restricted Imports and Exports list. This marks a significant change in the country’s trade policies and highlights the importance of compliance for businesses involved in international trade. Included in the revisions were amendments to tariff headings 7102, 7104, and 7105, applying to both imports and exports. The Essentiality of Import and Export Permits The need for import permits is reinforced by the Customs and Excise Act 91 of 1964. Businesses wishing to engage in import activities must register with SARS as importers and subsequently apply for an import permit from the International Trade Administration Commission (ITAC). Import permits are critical in ensuring that goods comply with South African safety, environmental, and health regulations. Regulatory Nuances in Import Procedures South Africa applies a rigorous customs system with nearly 90,000 product codes governing imports. New rules stipulate that documentation, such as the Single Administrative Document (SAD), is mandatory for customs clearance. This requirement not only encompasses the basic details of imports but extends to invoices, packing lists, and specific necessary certificates dependent on the goods being imported. The Role of Tariffs and Duties Tariffs on imported goods can vary, with most products falling into eight defined tiers ranging from 0% to 30%. For example, garments may incur duty rates as high as 40%. It’s important to understand that while agricultural products may be exempt from certain tariffs, those involved in importing textiles, vehicles, or electronics could face substantial taxes. South Africa's trade agreements, including the Economic Partnership Agreement with the EU, affect the duty rates that businesses encounter, showcasing the ever-evolving landscape of international trade. Impact of Enhanced Declarations on Trade Efficiency As of April 1, 2025, recent developments in SARS regulations require importers and exporters to include comprehensive commercial invoice data in their customs declarations. This mandate aims to bolster classification and valuation compliance. Noncompliance could lead to delays and increased auditing, which could strain operational efficiency and heighten costs. Adapting to the Changing Trade Environment In navigating these complex regulatory waters, businesses must adapt quickly. Engaging with local customs experts can provide the necessary guidance to streamline the import/export process, reducing the chance of noncompliance. Moreover, embracing digital innovations—including AI and analytics—to meet data submissions can enhance operational efficiency significantly. Conclusion: Strategic Compliance as Key to Market Success Amidst these changes, it is critical for business leaders to remain updated on the evolving import and export regulations. Strategic compliance not only mitigates risks associated with noncompliance but also enhances operational efficiency. As international trade mechanisms continue to evolve, staying engaged and informed will be pivotal for success. Reach out to a local customs consultant to sharpen your compliance strategy for the new import/export regulations.

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